Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 13.218867 14.904609 16.803698 19.117976 21.884311 25.113322 29.209750
2025-06-29 10.494120 12.488670 14.911188 18.119982 22.336258 27.802662 35.626699
2025-07-06 9.002204 11.087893 13.747640 17.473458 22.703398 30.024027 41.521700
2025-07-13 8.865653 11.313208 14.597462 19.483552 26.864997 38.155296 58.010521
2025-07-20 8.341489 10.925383 14.526780 20.137475 29.120194 43.897656 72.554764
2025-07-27 7.595349 10.133009 13.767106 19.621904 29.409943 46.439138 82.156986
2025-08-03 7.261400 9.886027 13.759551 20.241410 31.633674 52.818901 101.797503
2025-08-10 6.769716 9.354937 13.256273 19.973700 32.242494 56.290173 116.532400
2025-08-17 6.344057 8.884020 12.794534 19.704974 32.783531 59.730169 132.790004
2025-08-24 5.996945 8.503996 12.437920 19.565643 33.533146 63.785458 152.840965
2025-08-31 5.623989 8.054805 11.927293 19.086311 33.519824 66.112756 169.142315
2025-09-07 5.358936 7.757981 11.643131 18.985672 34.264473 70.437757 194.785533
2025-09-14 4.961974 7.236036 10.960414 18.107144 33.310906 70.541246 206.690763
2025-09-21 4.589372 6.733589 10.278473 17.168558 32.104350 69.757929 215.218994
2025-09-28 4.305440 6.360624 9.794688 16.567687 31.570671 70.700758 232.166966
2025-10-05 4.418831 6.656150 10.509322 18.435718 37.145042 91.235390 367.517949
2025-10-12 4.337394 6.612563 10.605624 19.042342 39.796489 104.133322 488.889158
2025-10-19 4.119796 6.319139 10.216317 18.564108 39.545891 107.053939 548.417107
2025-10-26 4.050171 6.281015 10.303440 19.138712 42.251481 122.080698 747.504551
2025-11-02 3.887106 6.066956 10.037780 18.890463 42.612034 128.210262 884.177856
2025-11-09 3.735450 5.865489 9.783077 18.641184 42.930485 134.411571 1048.964356
2025-11-16 3.607272 5.700058 9.588204 18.511902 43.591299 142.567671 1285.227760
2025-11-23 3.453773 5.480990 9.273376 18.066955 43.206493 145.750647 1464.247726